Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 350.243993 396.827453 448.399739 509.920303 581.556851 662.633198 761.752827
2025-11-23 276.309043 336.268963 408.482599 502.608461 623.147523 773.809829 978.699489
2025-11-30 239.780694 305.593072 389.329270 505.114894 663.319900 875.243562 1186.304359
2025-12-07 209.636564 276.986130 366.465941 496.181409 683.011256 948.045355 1362.974556
2025-12-14 188.389009 256.663639 350.793310 492.957115 707.423767 1027.626913 1559.164440
2025-12-21 166.673663 232.845283 326.895524 473.862044 704.383044 1063.887250 1691.706493
2025-12-28 158.175544 226.744079 327.315260 490.160808 756.309342 1191.158773 1993.498619
2026-01-04 151.600169 222.594859 329.833630 509.408428 814.653990 1336.355830 2352.398663
2026-01-11 142.076797 212.917509 322.651392 511.812532 844.555659 1436.302034 2645.885188
2026-01-18 131.143761 199.998952 308.988754 501.645599 850.827566 1493.961572 2866.687397
2026-01-25 121.610120 188.484597 296.486764 491.935745 856.309665 1550.186644 3094.212038
2026-02-01 117.256959 185.018812 296.921615 504.819199 904.918707 1696.308413 3543.941657
2026-02-08 110.388829 176.979895 289.163333 502.570478 925.297542 1791.059293 3904.527503
2026-02-15 103.488094 168.372687 279.716057 496.242579 936.922016 1869.696330 4246.253880
2026-02-22 98.596175 162.832231 275.159501 498.603428 966.298863 1990.964188 4722.546338
2026-03-01 92.560897 154.818268 265.445617 489.817699 970.955177 2057.145140 5070.475222
2026-03-08 87.826848 148.791538 258.891954 486.640086 987.252904 2152.893290 5523.926946
2026-03-15 81.481779 139.407788 245.336771 467.830412 966.424589 2155.913128 5711.395247
2026-03-22 79.945371 138.780896 248.382757 483.885843 1027.111926 2371.501892 6597.918853
2026-03-29 78.794989 138.778141 252.604200 502.844371 1097.235119 2624.570916 7684.538268
2026-04-05 75.863012 135.171283 249.400892 505.212234 1127.500114 2776.614892 8483.620690
2026-04-12 71.844017 129.207735 241.022094 495.198364 1125.630495 2839.144734 8987.513002
2026-04-19 68.157426 123.678120 233.153151 485.634203 1123.780629 2901.708099 9513.283393